An extra hour to get orders in! Hooray!!
You can thank a splendid spreadsheet (thanks, Alan) and my ill health for the speed of the PL reports.
About a month or so ago I woke up with double vision and although it is improving I still can't drive, so am spending much time at home. I used to watch Winchester FC of a Saturday afternoon, but seeind one version of them is quite enough, seeing two would be extremely depressing.
Round 8 of the prediction league was a low-scoring affair, with an average score of 3.92 from 24 entries. Stranraer's win at Arbroath was only predicted by two managers, and the draw between Clydebank and Dumbarton by three. At the other end of the scale, everyone expected Fraserburgh to beat Raith Rovers, with seven managers picking this as their banker.
There was a lone winner this week, Dave at Hearts netting the 100k for his six points.
It's looking like a two-horse race between Dundee and East Fife at this stage. We'll be dropping the lowest score next week - but both the leaders have a three to drop so it could be very tight.
Next Saturday we move to Division 2 for the penultimate round. I will post the entry form on the Notebook shortly.
Prediction | ARB v SRA | MOT v STJ | HEA v STE | FRA v RR | DEE v LIV | CLY v HAM | CB v DUM | CEL v COW |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home | 88% | 75% | 38% | 100% | 54% | 54% | 29% | 8% |
Away | 8% | 4% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 29% | 58% | 83% |
Draw | 4% | 21% | 13% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 8% |
Banker Count | 21% | 25% | 4% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Result | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Round 8 Scores | |
---|---|
Team | Points |
Hearts | 6 |
Dundee | 5 |
East Fife | 5 |
Forfar | 5 |
Livingston | 5 |
Partick Thistle | 5 |
Alloa | 4 |
Arbroath | 4 |
Brechin | 4 |
Cowdenbeath | 4 |
Edinburgh | 4 |
Elgin City | 4 |
Motherwell | 4 |
Nairn | 4 |
Queens Park | 4 |
Ross County | 4 |
Ayr | 3 |
Dumbarton | 3 |
East Stirlingshire | 3 |
Hibernian | 3 |
St Johnstone | 3 |
Stirling | 3 |
Stranraer | 3 |
Stenhousemuir | 2 |
D1 6 | D2 9 | D3 12 | D1 15 | D2 19 | D3 33 | D1 44 | Special | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pos | Team | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R8 | R7 | Total |
1 | East Fife | 8 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 47 |
2 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 45 |
3 | East Stirlingshire | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 40 |
3 | Stirling | 8 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 40 |
5 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 39 |
6 | Cowdenbeath | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Arbroath | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
7 | Nairn | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 37 |
7 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Edinburgh | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 36 |
11 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 33 | |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Elgin City | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 31 | |
13 | Falkirk | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 31 | |
13 | Livingston | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 31 | |
16 | Partick Thistle | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 30 | |
17 | Annan | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 29 | |
17 | St.Johnstone | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 | |
19 | Stranraer | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | |
20 | Hibernian | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 27 | |
20 | Inverness | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 27 | ||
20 | Ross County | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 27 | |
23 | Ayr United | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | ||
24 | Deveronvale | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | |
25 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 24 | ||
26 | Alloa | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | ||
27 | Dumbarton | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | ||||
27 | Forfar | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | ||||
29 | Brechin City | 3 | 4 | 7 | ||||||
29 | Dunfermline | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||||||
31 | Albion | 3 | 3 | |||||||
6.16 | 3.36 | 5.00 | 5.29 | 4.19 | 3.61 | 3.92 | 3.92 |
The current rule is of course open to abuse but hopefully no manager would stoop so low as to chuck a match to win the PL
A reminder that the PL runs tomorrow, only 8 entrants so far.
And Cameron, there used to be a rule that you had to predict your own team to win. Not sure when or why this was changed. I don't think the current rule has ever been abused, though.
Bournemouth 3 - 1 Ipswich Town
Arsenal 2 - 1 Fulham
Brighton 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Man. United
Wolves 1 - 3 West Ham
Chelsea 2 - 0 Tottenham
Man. City 4 - 1 Leicester City
Newcastle 1 - 1 Brentford
Southampton 0 - 3 Crystal Palace
Liverpool 3 - 1 Everton
Thanks to Alan at COW for pointing this out....prize money for the "non-drop" round is 200k, lucky old Nairn!
Thanks to William at EDI, here are the corrected results (PET v INV was a draw). It would be nice to think that there are now no mistakes but do point them out if you see any and want me to despise you forever.
Nairn become the overall winners, congratulations to Richard who earns 100k, I'll reverse the prze money allocated incorreectly
Prediction | FRA v COW | PET v INV | MON v GM | ALO v AI | AYR v SM | ROS v KIL | EST v DFA | DEV v BER |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home | 96% | 48% | 28% | 56% | 32% | 48% | 72% | 96% |
Away | 0% | 28% | 68% | 24% | 56% | 40% | 24% | 0% |
Draw | 4% | 24% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 4% |
Banker Count | 12% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 60% |
Result | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Special | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 6 | D2 9 | D3 12 | D1 15 | D2 19 | D3 33 | Lge 41 | Round 7 Scores | |||||
Pos | Team | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | Total | Team | Points | |
1 | East Fife | 8 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 42 | Nairn | 6 | |
2 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 40 | Ayr United | 5 | |
3 | East Stirlingshire | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 | East Fife | 5 | |
3 | Stirling | 8 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 37 | Edinburgh | 5 | |
5 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 35 | Hibernian | 5 | |
5 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 35 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | |
7 | Cowdenbeath | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 | Stirling | 5 | |
8 | Arbroath | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 33 | Stranraer | 5 | |
8 | Nairn | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 33 | Annan | 4 | |
10 | Edinburgh | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 32 | Deveronvale | 4 | |
11 | Falkirk | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 31 | Dundee | 4 | |
12 | Annan | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 29 | Elgin City | 4 | |
12 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | Falkirk | 4 | ||
14 | Elgin City | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 27 | Inverness | 4 | ||
14 | Inverness | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 27 | Partick THistle | 4 | ||
16 | Hearts | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 26 | Ross County | 4 | |
16 | Livingston | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | Cowdenbeath | 3 | ||
16 | St.Johnstone | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 26 | East Stirlingshire | 3 | ||
19 | Deveronvale | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | Forfar | 3 | |
19 | Partick Thistle | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 25 | Livingston | 3 | ||
19 | Stranraer | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | Motherwell | 3 | ||
22 | Hibernian | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | Queens Park | 3 | ||
22 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 24 | St Johnstone | 3 | ||
24 | Ayr United | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 23 | Arbroath | 2 | |||
24 | Ross County | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | Hearts | 2 | ||
26 | Alloa | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |||||
27 | Dumbarton | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |||||||
28 | Forfar | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |||||||
29 | Dunfermline | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||
30 | Albion | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
30 | Brechin City | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
6.16 | 3.36 | 5.00 | 5.29 | 4.19 | 3.61 | 3.88 |
Thanks to William at EDI who has pointed out an error I've made in the Round 7 results. I'll be posting a corrected version shortly
There were 25 entries for the "can't drop" round, and a couple of easy matches in there - home wins for Fraserburgh and Deveronvale both predicted by 96% of entrants, accounting for 72% of banker selection. The other matches were much trickier, with a couple of draws to make life difficult.
Three teams managed six points, so that's 33k each to Paul at East Fife, David at Hibs and Andrew at Stranraer.
Round 8 is next Saturday and I will be posting fixtures on the Notebook very soon.
Prediction | FRA v COW | PET v INV | MON v GM | ALO v AI | AYR v SM | ROS v KIL | EST v DFA | DEV v BER |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home | 96% | 48% | 28% | 56% | 32% | 48% | 72% | 96% |
Away | 0% | 28% | 68% | 24% | 56% | 40% | 24% | 0% |
Draw | 4% | 24% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 4% |
Banker Count | 12% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 60% |
Result | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Special | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 6 | D2 9 | D3 12 | D1 15 | D2 19 | D3 33 | Lge 41 | Round 7 Scores | |||||
Pos | Team | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | Total | Team | Points | |
1 | East Fife | 8 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 43 | East Fife | 6 | |
2 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 41 | Hibernian | 6 | |
3 | East Stirlingshire | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 38 | Stranraer | 6 | |
4 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 36 | Annan | 5 | |
4 | Stirling | 8 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 36 | Ayr United | 5 | |
6 | Cowdenbeath | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 35 | Dundee | 5 | |
6 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 35 | Inverness | 5 | |
8 | Arbroath | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 33 | Nairn | 5 | |
9 | Nairn | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 32 | Partick THistle | 5 | |
10 | Edinburgh | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 31 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | |
11 | Annan | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 30 | Cowdenbeath | 4 | |
11 | Falkirk | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 30 | East Stirlingshire | 4 | |
13 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | Edinburgh | 4 | ||
14 | Inverness | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 28 | Motherwell | 4 | ||
15 | Hearts | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 27 | Ross County | 4 | |
15 | St.Johnstone | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 27 | St Johnstone | 4 | ||
17 | Elgin City | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 26 | Stirling | 4 | ||
17 | Livingston | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | Deveronvale | 3 | ||
17 | Partick Thistle | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 26 | Elgin City | 3 | ||
17 | Stranraer | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 26 | Falkirk | 3 | ||
21 | Hibernian | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 25 | Forfar | 3 | ||
22 | Deveronvale | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | Hearts | 3 | |
22 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 24 | Livingston | 3 | ||
24 | Ayr United | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 23 | Queens Park | 3 | |||
24 | Ross County | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | Arbroath | 2 | ||
26 | Alloa | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |||||
27 | Dumbarton | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |||||||
28 | Forfar | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |||||||
29 | Dunfermline | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||
30 | Albion | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
30 | Brechin City | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
6.16 | 3.36 | 5.00 | 5.29 | 4.19 | 3.61 | 4.08 |
This is your final reminder, unless it posts twice. Only seven entries so far.